For the Animals
An Argument Guide
PT

Home / K. Effectiveness and individual responsibility / Part IND

K10

"Vegans will always be a minority"

The answer in one sentence

being a minority doesn't make a position wrong, and the number of people who agree with something doesn't decide whether it's just. Many moral changes began with minorities that seemed to have no chance. And you don't need to be a majority to reduce suffering: each person who stops buying animal products reduces demand, and animal protection laws have been passed without a vegan majority.

Short answer

Being a minority doesn't make something wrong. Many moral changes began with a few people who seemed to have no chance. And you don't need to be a majority to reduce suffering: each person who stops buying animal products lowers demand, and animal protection laws have been passed without a vegan majority.

For children

Sometimes only a few children in the class think it isn't right to leave a classmate out of a game. They're few, but they're right, and often the others end up changing their minds. Being few doesn't mean being wrong. And even if the others don't change, whoever doesn't leave the classmate out is already doing the right thing.

Ask a question back

"If something is unjust, does it stop being unjust because few people oppose it?"

Como pode aparecer

"You'll always be a minority."
Everyday conversation
"The world will never go vegan."
Everyday conversation
"Why bother, if no one's going to change?"
Everyday conversation
"Vegans are 1%; nobody cares."
Social media
"Everybody eats meat." (which is D6)
Disguised version
"A vegan world is utopian." (which is J15)
Disguised version

The strongest version

How it is said

"You'll always be a minority. The world will never go vegan, so why bother?"

Strongest version (steelman):

  1. P1Vegans are a small part of the population, and that has changed little over the decades.
  2. P2Social change only happens when the majority comes on board.
  3. P3It's unlikely the majority will become vegan in the near future.
  4. CSo veganism won't change anything, and it isn't worth adopting.

P1 is true today almost everywhere. P3 is plausible. The problem lies in P2 and the conclusion: important changes happen without a majority, and the question of what's right doesn't depend on how many agree.

The argument is invalid as a moral objection: from a position being rare it doesn't follow that it's wrong or useless.

Full answer

  1. a

    Reconstruction and diagnosis

    The argument mixes two questions:

    QuestionTypeDepends on the number of supporters?
    Is it just to exploit animals?MoralNo
    Will veganism become the majority?PredictionYes, by definition

    The second question is interesting, but it doesn't answer the first.

  2. b

    Where the argument breaks

    1. Popularity doesn't decide what's right.

    That a position is held by few doesn't show it's wrong. It's the appeal to the majority (D6).

    2. Change begins with minorities.

    Many moral and legal changes, such as ending practices once accepted by the majority, began with small groups. In experiments on social conventions, a committed minority of about 25% managed to change the group's norm. It's a laboratory result, not a prediction, but it shows norms can tip without a majority.

    3. You don't need a majority to reduce harm.

    Each person who stops buying animal products reduces, on average, demand and the number of animals bred (K1). The effect exists even if veganism never becomes the majority.

    4. Laws change before the majority does.

    The European Union banned battery cages for laying hens in a 1999 directive, and the United Kingdom recognized the sentience of several kinds of animals in law in 2022, without a vegan majority in either place.

    5. The prediction may be wrong.

    Technologies such as cultivated meat and precision fermentation may make products free of exploitation cheaper and more common. There's no guarantee, but there's no guarantee of the opposite either (K5).

  3. c

    Data and sources

    SourceWhat it saysNote
    Centola et al., 2018In experiments, a committed minority of about 25% changed the convention adopted by the groupScience, 360; a laboratory result
    European Union, Directive 1999/74/ECLays down standards for laying hens, banning conventional battery cages
    United Kingdom, Animal Welfare (Sentience) Act 2022Recognizes in law the sentience of vertebrates, cephalopods and decapod crustaceans
  4. d

    The strongest counter-reply: without a majority, suffering stays almost the same

    The most serious version says: even if each vegan reduces demand a little, as long as the majority eats meat, billions of animals will keep being killed. The individual effort would be almost irrelevant next to the scale.

  5. e

    Why the counter-reply doesn't reach the conclusion

    Almost irrelevant isn't irrelevant.

    For each animal that isn't bred, the difference is total.

    The argument works against any cause.

    No individual ends hunger or poverty alone, and helping still makes sense (K1).

    The moral question remains.

    Even if it were useless, taking part in something unjust would still be taking part in something unjust.

  6. f

    Back to the moral question

    Even if vegans were always a minority, the question would be the same: is it just to make animals suffer and die for the pleasure of taste? The number of people who agree doesn't change the answer.

Reasoning errors

Logical

Is the form valid?

Appeal to the majority
Uses the number of supporters as a criterion of truth
False dilemma
Either veganism becomes the majority, or it changes nothing

Epistemological

Does the evidence support it?

Prediction taken as certainty
Treats the future as already decided

Moral

Is the criterion coherent?

Confusing effectiveness with justice
From the chance of winning it concludes what's right to do

Biases

Social proof

What the majority does seems right

General literature on conformity

Status quo bias

The current state seems permanent

Samuelson and Zeckhauser, 1988

Rationalization through the 4Ns

"Normal" justifies carrying on

Piazza et al., 2015

Extrapolations

The principle being tested is: "if a position is a minority one, it's wrong or useless".

If it applied to…Unpopular causes of the pastTap to see

Those who championed them as a minority would have been wrong

History judges otherwise in many cases

If it applied to…DonationsTap to see

Giving would be useless, because most people don't give

Each donation helps someone

If it applied to…Any social changeTap to see

None could ever begin

Every change starts with a few

Contradictions

Admires those who championed unpopular causes in the past.

But uses unpopularity against veganism.

Votes, donates or helps without changing everything alone.

And demands that veganism change everything at once.

Recognizes that social norms change.

And assumes this one never will.

What the argument gets right

What is true

It's right that vegans are a minority today, that deep cultural change is slow and that the majority probably won't become vegan in the near future. It's also reasonable to think about strategies that reduce suffering even without mass adoption, such as laws, technologies and institutional change.

But

But being a minority doesn't decide what's right, and you don't need to be a majority to make a difference. Each animal that isn't bred to die is a real difference.

Connections

Usually comes before

D6 Everybody eats meat.From the majority who eat it to the minority who don't
L10 Most vegans give up.Giving up becomes a prediction that veganism will never grow
K10this argument

Usually comes after

J15 A vegan world is utopian.The minority becomes a utopia
K1 One person doesn't make a difference.If we'll never be the majority, the individual would change nothing
K5 I'll wait for cultivated meat.Hope shifts from individual choice to technology

References